This report concludes that the January 7, 2025, Pacific Palisades fire occurred under historically typical, predictable, and manageable weather conditions, contrary to false public claims of unprecedented or unmanageable factors. Analysis of data from 48 weather stations shows wind speeds were well below hurricane thresholds and did not trigger high wind warnings; drought conditions aligned with normal Southern California climate cycles; and multiple agencies issued accurate early fire weather forecasts. These facts directly refute misleading narratives that extreme conditions caused the fire’s spread. The only unprecedented aspect was the failure to contain the fire despite ample warnings and manageable conditions.

Palisades Fire Weather Report and Analysis

This is a limited, but worthwhile analysis.

Doug Santo