The Failed Logistics Of The Russian Invasion
Lawrence Person:
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- Ukrainian forces destroyed all rail links between the two countries.
- Russian forces are relying on analog, unsecured radio communications rather than scrambled digital channels, and Ukrainian forces are listening in and jamming.
- Poor logistics also helped Soviet forces lose in Afghanistan.
- Russia has 30,000 strong military rail organization.
- “Russia doesn’t have enough trucks.” They can’t operate effectively more than 90 miles from supply dumps.
- A large percentage of truck transport was dedicated to rocket resupply, not fuel and food.
- Russia only had 3-5 days of supplies when they invaded. When those ran out, they were screwed.
- Russia’s military works on a “push” logistic system rather than a “pull” system used by the U.S. military, mean it’s not very flexible.
- Russia has the capability to set up the infrastructure for a longer war, but it’s going to take time.
- Russia’s failure to quickly achieve it’s objectives has seen it resort to more desperate and indiscriminate tactics.
I think the failure runs deeper than this. Russian war equipment is apparently poorly maintained and has low serviceability. Russian air forces appear to be at a low standard in terms of battlespace awareness, serviceable aircraft, and concentration on tactical and strategic goals. Russian leadership seems wooden and unresponsive to changing battlefield conditions. Russian soldiers appear to have low moral and low will to fight. Russian leadership appears to have underestimated the Ukrainians’ response and willingness to fight; underestimated the NATO response; underestimated the world’s response. Russian nuclear threats reveal a lack of confidence in their ability to wage the war they started.