Climate-Alarmist Junk Science and the Base-Line Fallacy

Wen Wryte:

“…With the composite president known as “Joe Biden” pushing ahead with implementing the Green New Deal, the climate-alarmist industrial complex will be ramping up its propaganda to scare as many people as possible into believing that Planet Earth is about to burn up. Unless, that is, we — the people — allow our freedoms and prosperity to be whittled away until freedom and prosperity are for most people half-forgotten memories.

So now is a good time to explore the biggest fallacy of all underlying climate-alarmist junk science. This is the “base-line fallacy,” which is a cousin of the statistical “base-rate fallacy”; both result from probabilistic errors when assessing the likelihood of scenarios based on the pattern of prior events.

The “base-line fallacy” involves the selection of a starting-point in the dataset which conveniently omits confounding data, so that the conclusion reached is determined not by objective patterns in the whole dataset but by short-term trends in the partial snapshot of data used in the study. This outcome may be the result of an innocent error by the researchers, and peer-review should pick this up and cause it to be corrected. But this does not appear to have happened with climate-alarmist research. Instead, it is beyond doubt that the base-line fallacy is embedded in the research methodology of such studies and is actually normal practice. This is not credible science. It is political ideology masquerading as — at best — junk science. It’s possibly the biggest intellectual fraud thus far in the history of science…”

Long Beach turns itself into a food desert, Los Angeles a close second

“…Grocery chain Kroger said it closed down two California stores Saturday after the Long Beach City Council approved a COVID-19-related “hero pay” ordinance that increased wages by $4 per hour.

The pay increase, mandated in January, was for workers who were employed at pharmacies and retail stores with 300 or more employees in the Southern California city.

The move was announced earlier this year, but the Ralph’s and Food 4 Less—both operated by Kroger—were shut down on April 17, employees told local media outlets.

“As a result of the City of Long Beach’s decision to pass an ordinance mandating Extra Pay for grocery workers, we have made the difficult decision to permanently close long-struggling store locations in Long Beach,” said a spokesperson for Kroger several weeks ago. “This misguided action by the Long Beach City Council oversteps the traditional bargaining process and applies to some, but not all, grocery workers in the city.”

Last month, Kroger also announced it would close down three stores—two Ralphs and one Food 4 Less—in nearby Los Angeles, which passed its own $5-per-hour “hero pay” boost to workers amid the pandemic…”

CNN’s business model: Profit from fear, hate and division

“…CNN technical director Charles Chester to blab on what he thought were dates after connecting on Tinder.

In the tapes, Chester casually explains how his network preys on fear to squeeze out higher ratings. CNN President Jeff Zucker regularly called in on a special red phone call, for example, telling his “news” team to play up the COVID death toll whenever the regular news is too dull.

Chester callously explained that the virus that has taken more than 3 million lives drives “gangbuster” ratings. He even admitted that he himself had been guilty of looking at the daily death count and saying, “Let’s make it higher.”

And when the pandemic becomes old news, he added, CNN will turn to exploiting climate change for fear-driven ratings.

Objectivity is out the window: Chester explains to his “date” that there is “no such thing as unbiased news.” Indeed, he bragged, the only people CNN allows on the air are those with “a proven track record of taking the bait” that reporters feed them of exactly what opinions to express.

He also brags that he went to the network in the first place to “be a part of” getting President Trump voted out of office. Indeed, he said CNN’s entire “focus was to get Trump out of office,” so it resorted to fake stories and “propaganda.”…”

Survey shows blacks wildly overestimate frequency of police fatally shooting young black men

The biggest threat to young black men is other young black men. Criminal statistics demonstrate this year after year. Media ignores it.

Hawley to introduce anti-trust legislation to ‘bust up’ Big Tech, including Google and Amazon

I support this.

Oregon considers making mask mandate permanent, infuriating residents

Related:

Michigan: ‘Strongest public health order in the Midwest’ now requires masks for 2-year-olds

Mindless, petty tyrant nonsense. Think about that rule. What parent would take a sick, 2 year old child out in crowded public spaces or out anywhere except a doctor’s office or hospital.

Democrat governor.

Vote for Democrats and this is what you get.

A Recipe for More Tragedy The media’s rush to judgment on the Adam Toledo shooting will come with a high cost.

Rafael A. Mangual:

“…Last night, as I scrolled through my newsfeed on Facebook, I saw multiple posts referring to the shooting of 13-year-old Adam Toledo by Chicago police officer Eric Stillman, video (warning: graphic) of which had just been released by the city’s Civilian Office of Police Accountability.

All the posts linked to news stories with headlines emphasizing one detail: at the moment Toledo was struck by the officer’s gunfire, his hands were raised and appeared to be empty. A sampling of the news headlines:

Slate: “Video Shows Chicago Police Shoot 13-Year-Old Adam Toledo With His Hands Up”

BuzzFeed News: “Video Shows 13-Year-Old Adam Toledo Had His Hands Up When A Police Officer Fatally Shot Him”

NBC 5 Chicago: “Attorney: Adam Toledo Did Not Have Gun In His Hand When He Was Shot By Chicago Police”

Mic: “13-year-old Adam Toledo put his hands up. Chicago police killed him anyway”

USA Today: “‘We failed Adam’: Body camera videos show 13-year-old Adam Toledo put hands up before fatal police shooting in Chicago” (the quote belongs to Chicago mayor Lori Lightfoot)

The Associated Press: “Video: Chicago boy wasn’t holding gun when shot by officer”

The implication from these headlines is clear: the boy was unarmed and raising his hands in surrender when he was shot—ergo, this was a bad shooting.

Those were just the news pieces. The commentary was more explicit. In The Hill, a piece entitled “Lawmakers demand justice for Adam Toledo: ‘His hands were up. He was unarmed’” quotes, among many other Democratic lawmakers, California congresswoman Karen Bass, who tweeted, “Adam Toledo was 13 years old. Those responsible for taking the rest of his life away from him must be held accountable.” A local community organizer told an audience on Democracy Now! that “There is no other way to describe what we saw in the video, as a cold-blooded murder.” During a press conference, the attorney representing Toledo’s family said, “If you’re shooting an unarmed child with his hands in the air, it is an assassination.” The Los Angeles Times quoted “neighbors” in Little Village, where the shooting took place, who referred to the shooting as “an execution.”

New York City mayoral hopeful Andrew Yang distilled the relevant facts to just three: “He was 13. He was unarmed. His hands were up.” Law professor Paul Butler (with whom I recently debated police reform) asked, on MSNBC, “Where is the bottom?”—suggesting that this shooting was clearly wrong. Butler went on to note that the officer fired his weapon “within 20 seconds of leaving his car.” Similarly, MSNBC’s Joy Reid said of the police in this case, “They didn’t wait ten seconds before opening up on him like it was a drive-by.” What Butler and Reid don’t seem to understand is that it takes a lot less than ten seconds for an armed suspect to shoot a police officer.

Such inflammatory comments have become par for the course for modern media. A close analysis of the available video evidence also shows just how detached from reality these comments are…”

Shouldn’t Liberal Media Have To Answer For Making The Audience Believe A “Bunch Of Crap About COVID?”

“…HBO “Real Time” host Bill Maher whacked the media for peddling paranoid “bullsh*t” about COVID with negative coverage and praised Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) for protecting his “most vulnerable population, the elderly, way better than did the governor of New York,” Andrew Cuomo.

“Democrats… have a greatly exaggerated view of the danger of COVID too and the mortality rate among children,” Maher said. “All of which explains why today, the states with the highest share of schools that are still closed are all blue states. So if the right-wing media bubble has to own things like climate change denial, shouldn’t liberal media have to answer for how did your audience wind up believing such a bunch of crap about COVID.”

On the Friday broadcast of the program, Maher said the “greatly exaggerated” danger of COVID by Democrats has led to schools being open in red states and closed in blue states…”

Biden administration won’t define ‘sex’ as biological as Title IX review starts

You can’t get more stupid than this. We live in the age of stupid. A large portion of our society is intent on exploring the unvisited and previously undreamed of depths of stupidity.

The Digital Director of President Biden’s COVID-19 Response Team has previously shared racist tweets, including calls for “bans” on white people, The National Pulse can today reveal.

“…The unearthed posts from Clarke Humphrey – a former Deputy Digital Director for the Biden campaign and current member of the Biden White House – are as recent as 2019, while she was working for the Democratic National Committee (DNC).

Also the former Director of Online Fundraising for the DNC, Humphrey posted about “banning” white people, as well as a number of other racially-charged, aggressive, hateful messages.

Humphrey told a Twitter user “don’t get in a car with white ppl” and insisted “we truly do gotta get white men all the way outta here.”…”

“…The self-avowed “greatest online fundraiser in american history” has been involved in Democratic politics since 2014, beginning at the DNC before working for the Hillary Clinton campaign, then bouncing back to the DNC before departing for the Biden campaign.

Humphrey’s current role in the Biden White House also places her on the same COVID-19 Response Team as Dr. Anthony Fauci…”

Liberalism is a mental disease

 

Mercer U. Theology Prof’s Prayer: ‘Dear God, Please Help Me to Hate White People’

“…Mercer University theology professor Chanequa Walker-Barnes wrote a prayer in which she asks God to help her “hate white people,” specifically, “the nice ones,” such as “the Fox News-loving, Trump-supporting voters” who “don’t see color.” She published the “Prayer of a Weary Black Woman” in the book A Rhythm of Prayer: A Collection of Meditations for Renewal.

“Dear God, Please help me to hate White people,” the professor began in her prayer, titled, “Prayer of a Weary Black Woman,” which was published in A Rhythm of Prayer: A Collection of Meditations for Renewal edited by Sarah Bessey…”

Liberalism is a mental disease

Major black leaders come out in support of voter ID, slam ‘totally oblivious’ white liberals

Related:

Ga. governor candidate on criticism of voter ID: ‘White liberals think black people are too dumb’