Polling the electorate or trying to shape opinion in the electorate?

Presidential Opinion Polls – Déjà vu All Over Again?

Brian C. Joondeph:

“…Presidential pollsters have short memories. It was a mere four years ago that most pollsters faceplanted after predicting a Hillary Clinton landslide victory. Rather than humility and introspection after such wildly inaccurate predictions, they have doubled down and may be falling into the same trap of wishful thinking as they did in 2016.

Opinion polls are only as good as their samples. Assessing President Trump’s popularity in Boulder versus Sturgis would yield vastly different results based on the population being surveyed.

A recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted Sept. 30 to Oct. 1 showed Joe Biden with a 14-point lead over President Trump, 53 to 39 percent, up from an 8 point lead a week earlier. That’s it then, game over. Time for Biden to start packing for his move from his basement to the White House.

Who was polled to give Biden such a commanding lead? Looking at the poll internals, something the media prefers to hide, reveals that registered, not likely, voters were surveyed, one strike against the poll. As elections move closer to election date, that calls the sample into question. Given that voter turnout for presidential elections is typically just over 50 percent, half of those surveyed won’t vote, regardless of their opinions.

Of the 800 registered voters surveyed, Democrats were oversampled by 9 points, 45 to 36 percent, explaining much of Joe’s supposed 14 point advantage.

This poll echoes a July Quinnipiac poll finding Biden opening a 15-point lead over Trump. Again this was registered voters and oversampled Democrats by 10 points, 34 to 24 percent, creating much of the 15-point lead.

Are there 8 to 10 percentage points more Democrats than Republicans out there? If so, then why isn’t Hillary Clinton the one running for re-election? In reality it may be the opposite. Politico reported Republican voter registration surging in Florida, 41 percent more new Republican voters compared with Democrats…”

Biden: Voters will know my position on court packing after the election

Covid is politics morphing into secular religion

The Cult of Covidism Has Invaded the Church

Fay Voshell:

“…What should have been a purely scientific response aimed at control and cure of a disease quickly evolved into the political-religious cult of Covidism. Objective scientific analysis of and responses to what is the contagious pathogen COVID-19 were almost immediately suffocated by a plethora of arbitrary pseudo-religious rituals…”

An interesting article. Worth clicking over.

Trump declassifies Russia documents, media/Democrats hardest hit.

Headline of the day – Democrat governance edition

DeBlasio rounding up Jews who ‘peacefully protest’ lockdown orders

https://twitter.com/SVNewsAlerts/status/1313343860626595842

This is America? The Democrats have gone bonkers.

Biden up to his old tricks ripping off British politicians

Biden ripping off British politician in 1988

Biden ripping off British politician in 2020

History repeats.

Christopher Wray to resign later this morning?

https://twitter.com/SVNewsAlerts/status/1313691470898094080

I think he should be fired. I think the President waited too long. He is a deep stater, an FBI institutionalist. The FBI needs to be thoroughly cleaned of people like Wray.

We’ll see.

The MAGA cannot be stopped

Racist self identifies as liar. Don’t believe the fake stuff Democrats and media peddle. They think you are stupid.

Leader McConnell on Barrett hearings

Journalism – NBC style (fake news). NBC thinks you are stupid.

Doug Santo