A look at early to mid-season push polling. These polls are intended to shape public opinion not measure it. Real polling won’t start until 2 to 4 weeks before the election. The old saying about indicting a ham sandwich has a corollary, pollsters could elect a ham sandwich, until the actual election.
Brian C. Joondeph:
“…Let’s look at CNN’s gaggle of polls. The Washington Post – ABC News poll sampled 1,000 adults. Not likely voters, not registered voters, not even eligible voters, just whoever answered the phone. They also oversampled Democrats by 6 percentage points and their sample contained 399 Trump supporters compared to 522 Biden supporters, over a 25 percent advantage for Biden.
It’s no wonder their survey found Biden favored over Trump 54 to 39 percent, reflecting the sample…”