Washington Examiner Editorial:
“…more ominous for Democrats is the mediocre turnout in the first nomination battle, which took place before anybody knew of the counting nightmare to come.
Back in 2008, Democrats were desperate to retake the White House after two terms of President George W. Bush, and they were inspired by Barack Obama’s message of hope and change. That year, 240,000 Iowans came out to caucus as Obama bested Hillary Clinton and John Edwards en route to the presidency. Going into 2020, Democrats thought they had a chance to challenge that turnout record. All over the sate, they prepared for turnout that would meet or exceed the 2008 numbers. Instead, the turnout was in line with the tepid 170,000 number from 2016.
But that alone understates the problem. For in 2016, there were effectively only two competitive candidates, and the contest took place the eighth and final year of a Democratic presidency. Partisans should have, in theory, been less energized than they are now, given that they have a hated Republican president to remove.
Yet turnout proved disappointing — despite the urgency of defeating Trump; despite dozens of Democratic candidates crisscrossing Iowa; despite tens of millions of dollars spent to drive turnout; despite saturation media coverage of the caucuses in the state. Consider that Pete Buttigieg’s final rally before voting attracted 400 members of the media. Also, for the first time, the Democratic Party allowed Iowans temporarily living in other states or abroad to participate in “satellite caucuses.” It wasn’t enough to increase turnout over 2016…
…Trump packed in more than 7,000 people in at his Des Moines event ahead of the caucus, with an overflow crowd watching his rally on a big screen outside the arena. Without any serious challenger, he still got 31,000 Iowans to show up and vote for him in the Republican caucus, winning a stunning 97% of the vote. That significantly outpaces the 25,000 people who turned out when Obama ran uncontested for reelection in 2012…”
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