Remember that democrats almost always enjoy a significant advantage in polling like this. The important indicator is the shift from dem to rep in the last few weeks. Hmmm, what has been happening on the national scene that could have caused a movement in the polls?
“…Five weeks before the Midterm Elections, 49 percent of American voters back the Democratic candidate in their local race for the U.S. House of Representatives and 42 percent support the Republican candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.
This compares to the results of a September 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University National Poll, showing Democrats with a 52 – 38 percent lead…”