New York’s 19th Congressional District Resists ‘Blue Wave’

“…The House election in New York’s 19th Congressional District pits a one-term GOP congressman against a first-time Democratic congressional candidate in a district President Trump won in 2016. The race could prove crucial for either party’s ability to control the House of Representatives.

New York’s 19th district covers a broad swath of New York State, extending almost 8,000 square miles and containing about 700,000 people. Prior to 2013, the district was made up of counties closer to New York City, including Putnam and part of Westchester. President Obama wonthis district in 2008 and 2012, both times by more than five points.

Since 2013, the district has consisted of Columbia, Delaware, Greene, Otsego, Schoharie, Sullivan, and Ulster counties, and parts of Broome, Dutchess, Montgomery, and Rensselaer counties, giving it a more rural, agricultural character. President Trump won the district by almost seven points in 2016.

The progressive base of the Democratic Party in the district is mainly centered on Ulster County, located in the south of the district, which contains a state university and was the only county to not vote for the district’s current representative, Republican John Faso, in 2016. Dutchess County, which is more suburban than much of the district, supported Hillary Clinton in the presidential election, but Faso in the congressional race.

Robert Bishop, a member of the Delaware County Republican Committee and president of the Livestock Exporters Association of the USA, argues that most of the district is favorable to Republicans. “I think that New York 19 is a very conservative, centrist to right-leaning district,” he told the Washington Free Beacon.

Nevertheless, voter registration in the district favors the Democrats, especially in the more populous Ulster County, although this has not translated into a clear electoral advantage for the Democratic Party…”